The government has announced a package of support for pubs, partially reversing the business rate increases from the November Budget. Pub stocks remained largely flat on the news, given most of the upside had already been priced in following weeks of speculation.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves introduced a 15 per cent cut to the new business rates bill for pubs from April, followed by a two-year real-terms freeze. The Treasury has also committed to a review of future methodology.
Deutsche Bank analyst Tim Barrett said the changes could add up to 4 per cent to earnings per share for the listed pubs, all else being equal.
And while it is good news for Fuller, Smith & Turner (FTSA), JD Wetherspoon (JDW), Marston’s (MARS), Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) and Young & Co’s Brewery (YNGA), Barrett called the package a “red herring” for the wider hospitality sector, noting that despite being worst hit by Reeves’ original measures, hotel operators were excluded from the new relief.
Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium, agreed. She said: “The Treasury is right to introduce short-term relief for those hit hardest by the rate rises, but this should be targeted at all those on the high street whose bills will see the biggest rises.”
The hotel sector remains subject to the original measures, which means that from April, a higher ‘rates multiplier’ will be introduced for properties worth more than £500,000. With property valuations having risen after the last reassessment during the pandemic, many hotel operators will end up paying a higher bill.
Premier Inn owner Whitbread (WTB) has seen its share price drop by more than 14 per cent over the past six months.




