Greggs’ (GRG) battle with the weather continues. The bakery chain blamed a “particularly hot†summer for putting people off their pasties in FY25, after pre-tax profit fell by 18 per cent.
Like-for-like sales increased by 2.4 per cent for the year to 27 December, but current trading has since deteriorated, with sales growth slowing in the first nine weeks of FY26 to 1.6 per cent.
“Rain does not help,†said Peel Hunt analyst Jonathan Pritchard, concerning Greggs’ 2026 customer footfall.
Chief executive Roisin Currie said 2026 will be “another tough year for the consumerâ€, and reaffirmed guidance of no pre-tax profit growth in FY26. Greggs is currently the UK market’s most shorted stock.
After spending heavily to open 121 net new stores over the year, Greggs said it is now past the peak of its investment programme. Management expects capital expenditure to fall from £288mn to £200mn this year, and £150mn-£170mn thereafter.
Currie said the board’s key focus going forward will be on “restoring†its return on capital employed metric to its target of 20 per cent. The board held the total dividend at 69p per share.




